Summary Version INTELLIGENCE ISSN 1245-2122 N. 103, New Series, 13 September 1999 Every Two to Three Weeks Next Issue on 27 September 1999 Publishing since 1980 Editor Olivier Schmidt (email intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr; web http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence) TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 103, 13 September 1999 FRONT PAGE LEBANON - THE THREAT OF PEACE & A "NO FUTURE" HEZBOLLAH p.1 TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES EUROPEAN E-COMMERCE LAW "BLUEPRINT" IN IRELAND p.2 BUSINESSMAN'S WORLD MAP OF DANGEROUS "HOT SPOTS" p.3 KOSOVO MILITARY TECH "POSTMORTEM" BY THE DUTCH p.4 PEOPLE NORTHERN IRELAND - JACK HOLLAND p.5 IRAQ - MOHAMMED ALI GHANI p.6 AGENDA COMING EVENTS THROUGH 15 OCTOBER 1999 p.7 INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD USA - BARRAGE OF GOVERNMENT SURVEILLANCE PROJECTS p.8 - FBI ROASTING OVER THE COALS OF WACO p.9 - MICROSOFT-NSA COLLUSION DESTROYS CODE EXPORT LIMITS p.10 NORTH AMERICA - Open Source Intelligence. p.11 CIA, FBI, DOE, CUSTOMS, DEA, DOD, MONEY LAUNDERING, CANADA. GREAT BRITAIN - MAJOR CHANGES IN POLICING p.12 - TARGETING THE WINDSORS AND OTHERS p.13 - A/C MADDISON & CHEM/BIO TESTS GONE WRONG p.14 NORTHERN IRELAND - BRITISH MOD "WORSE CASE SCENARIOS" p.15 FRANCE - INTELLIGENCE REPORTING AT "LE MONDE" p.16 NETHERLANDS - BVD ANNUAL REPORT FOR 1998 p.17 WESTERN EUROPE - Open Source Intelligence. p.18 GREAT BRITAIN, NORTHERN IRELAND, SWITZERLAND, GERMANY, ITALY. EASTERN EUROPE - Open Source Intelligence. p.19 POLAND, CROATIA, RUSSIA. LATIN AMERICA - Open Source Intelligence. p.20 MEXICO, PANAMA, COLOMBIA. AFRICA - Open Source Intelligence. p.21 SOUTH AFRICA, ANGOLA. ISRAEL - Second Nuclear Option. p.22 - Shin Bet Torture No Longer Legal. p.23 ASIA - Open Source Intelligence. p.24 CHINA, JAPAN, TAIWAN. --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 3 BUSINESSMAN'S WORLD MAP OF DANGEROUS "HOT SPOTS" The London-based research and corporate intelligence firm, Merchant International Group (MIG), recently published the results of a survey of 500 British, European and US business executives concerning the reportedly increasing risks of kidnapping, extortion and murder faced by Western executives in the ten most dangerous countries in the world. Top of the list is Mexico, described in the MIG survey as "particularly dangerous" because of extreme unemployment and poverty, and unacceptable levels of institutionalized corruption. In the Middle East, the PLO-controlled areas of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, are classified as "dangerous" -- particularly for US businessmen because of what is perceived as "one sided [US] support" for Israel, while Saddam Hussein's increasing beleaguered Iraq is unsafe for international commerce while selective Anglo-American air strikes continue. ...(cut)... --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 8 USA BARRAGE OF GOVERNMENT SURVEILLANCE PROJECTS If the Chinese didn't steal secret US military technology, then the Russians did, at least according to a thoroughly alarmist 25 July "Sunday Times" front page report. Playing the Clinton administration's and US intelligence community's game for the strictest possible control and surveillance of the Internet, the report quoted Deputy Defense Secretary, John Hamre, before a congressional committee, stating that: "We are in the middle of a cyber war" which began early this year, when, according to Curt Weldon, chairman of a congressional committee for military research and development (which could benefit from more money dedicated to Internet surveillance), "there were deliberate and highly coordinated attacks occurring in our Defense Department systems that appeared to be coming from one country." That the attacks were "coming from one country", and not from US hackers, is far from proven. Nonetheless, the congressional committee got a secret briefing on the so-called "Moonlight Maze" secret Russian operation. This alarmist report was "right on schedule", preceding by only a day or two a statement that the threat of terrorists -- not US hackers, among the best in the world -- to the US computer network had led the Clinton administration to plan to develop an extensive computer monitoring system. On 26 July, the media identified the plan as the Federal Intrusion Detection Network (FIDNET), to be administered by the FBI and be operating by 2003. The data collected would be stored at the FBI National Infrastructure Protection Center (NIPC). According to the FBI, it is not interested in eavesdropping, but in finding patterns in eavesdropped Internet information that suggest illegal activities. Civil liberties organizations immediately protested, and they were far from being alone. ...(cut)... --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 9 USA FBI ROASTING OVER THE COALS OF WACO In a premonition of things to come, Justice Department Inspector General, Michael R. Bromwich, who forced major changes in the FBI crime lab, stated in late Jluy that he believes the Bureau needs a permanent outside watchdog rather than investigate its own misdeeds and missteps: "It's very important that there be an external oversight body that has full and unlimited jurisdiction to conduct whatever investigations it thinks appropriate." In Texas, assistant US Attorney Smith has been handling lawsuits filed by families of Branch Davidians killed in April 1993 at Waco and by some of the survivors. He is the same judge who sentenced some of the Davidians to long prison terms before the disaster. Not long ago, Texas Department of Public Safety (TDPS) appeared in his court and announced that the Texas Rangers -- part of TDPS -- had two large rooms full of Waco evidence that had never seen the light of day. TDPS commissioner, Jim Francis, said it contained government fired projectiles, which appeared to be pyrotechnic and may have started the fire that killed 74 people, including two dozen children. A Freedom of Information Act suit forced the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (ATF) to admit that it had three and maybe four video cameras filming what happened at the Davidians' front door and an infrared tape of the building, likely showing exactly what had happened when the first shots were fired. Michael McNulty, producer of the Academy Award nominated documentary, "Waco - The Rules of Engagement", was producing a second documentary with solid evidence, most of it from government files, that the FBI may be guilty of lying, perjury, and homicide. He found the 40mm pyrotechnic shells the TDPS had mentioned, and tied them to the fire. Retired FBI and government sources agreed to talk with him. McNulty showed his new documentary to Congressional staffs recently. The effect was immediate and the "Washington Times" carried the story under the headlines, "The Waco Cover-up Begins to Unravel". ...(cut)... --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 12 GREAT BRITAIN MAJOR CHANGES IN POLICING Scotland Yard's 700-strong Special Branch (SB), known as SO12, will join with the force's Criminal Investigations Division (CID) to form a new, pro-active, intelligence gathering unit -- the Intelligence Development Group (IDG) -- under a single senior officer, in what has been described by the Home Office as a "significant change in UK policing". The IDG will be headed by Commander Roger Pearce, a Special Branch officer in charge of SO11, the criminal intelligence branch, and will include the Yard's covert operations unit, SO10. ...(cut)... --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 13 GREAT BRITAIN TARGETING THE WINDSORS AND OTHERS A one-off opportunity to assassinate the most senior members of the British Royal Family was rejected by the IRA leadership in 1990, according to Belfast-born journalist and writer, Jack Holland (see "People" in this issue), in his recently published book on the Ulster conflict, "Hope Against History" (Hodder & Stoughton, London). Mr. Holland claims that an IRA "sleeper" -- one of a four-strong London-based IRA Active Service Unit which had been operating undetected on the British mainland for almost a year -- was employed as a banqueting hall attendant at functions organized by the Royal Overseas League Club, in St James's Park, near the Mall. He applied for the job in June 1990 and successfully passed "two MI5 vetting checks". Shortly after being assigned to the dining area, he was given a list of VIPs attending future events, including visits by Queen Elizabeth II, the Duke of Edinburgh and Prince Charles. ...(cut)... --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 14 GREAT BRITAIN A/C MADDISON & CHEM/BIO TESTS GONE WRONG Detectives from Wiltshire Police, led by Det. Supt. Gerry Luckett, are investigating the death of 20-year-old, Royal Air Force (RAF) A/C Ronald Maddison, which took place in 1953 during secret nerve gas tests at Britain's chemical and biological warfare center, Porton Down. According to recently- released Ministry of Defence (MoD) documents, leading aircraftman Maddison died from "poisoning by nerve gas" after being given 200mg of Sarin (an extremely potent toxic agent invented by the German Nazis) in the gas chamber of the Porton Down facility, on 6 May 1953. The MoD's internal report states that "vigorous artificial respiration was instituted" at 10h50, after normal respiration deteriorated. At 11h00, "his colour turned ashen grey and there was incontinence of faeces. The patient became cyanosed and the pulse of the wrist could not be felt". Several month's after A/C Maddison's death, the military advisory council on scientific research and technical development restricted the dosage of Sarin in future tests to 5mg. ...(cut)... --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 17 NETHERLANDS BVD ANNUAL REPORT FOR 1998 For the eight consecutive year, the Binnenlandse Veiligheidsdienst internal security service has produced an annual report on its activities and assessment of the security situation in the Netherlands. The current 88-page report indicates an increased openness and a certain boldness, especially in its portrayal of political developments regarding radical foreign political and religious groups operating in Holland. It is less cautious and low-key in tone compared to earlier annual reports. ...(cut)... --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 103, 13 September 1999, p. 22 ISRAEL - Second Nuclear Option. The arrival at Haifa Naval Base last month of the Israeli Navy's German-built, advanced diesel-electric submarine, the "Dolphin", will change the "entire face of the Navy and the long-arm of Israel", according to Prime Minister and Defence Minister, Ehud Barak. The "Dolphin" is the first of three submarines due to be commissioned by autumn 2000 to replace the three Gal-class vessels in service since the mid-1970s. The new, silent- running, highly-maneuverable vessels have a range of 4,500 kilometers and a maximum speed of 20 knots. Designed to carry Harpoon sea-to-sea missiles, the "Dolphin", and its two sister vessels, the "Livyatan" and the "Tekuma", will give Israel a "second strike nuclear capability", according to Western intelligence and weapons analysts, a conclusion supported by Yiftah Shapir, of the Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies at Tel Aviv University, who believes Israeli technicians will be able to design a nuclear warhead small enough to fit missiles on board the "Dolphin". ...(cut)... ---------------------------------------------