SUMMARY VERSION FULL COPY ON REQUEST INTELLIGENCE ISSN 1245-2122 N. 84 New Series, 7 September Every Two to Three Weeks Next Issue on 21 September 1998 Publishing since 1980 Editor Olivier Schmidt (email intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr; web http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence) TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 84, 7 September 1998 FRONT PAGE NORWAY - "HAVE STARE" KEEPING "STAR WARS" ALIVE p.1 TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES ASSASSINS - SERIOUS US SECRET SERVICE STUDY p.2 VORTEX SPY SATELLITE TARGETED BIN LADEN p.3 "REAL" IRA'S NEW EXPLOSIVES TECHNOLOGY p.4 CS Spray - Medical Trouble in Great Britain. p.5 TECHNOLOGY & TECHNIQUES - Media Reports & Briefs. p.6 PEOPLE USA - DAVID CARPENTER p.7 GREAT BRITAIN - SIR HARRY TUZO p.8 CUBA/USA - LUIS POSADA CARRILES p.9 ISRAEL - NAHUM MANBAR p.10 PEOPLE - Media Reports and Briefs. p.11 AGENDA COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 OCTOBER 1998 p.12 INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD USA - SERVICES' SUMMER HARVEST OF BAD PRESS & ACTIVITY p.13 - OWNERS, NOT THE CIA, CENSOR "COVERT ACTION" p.14 - Top Brass Cancel Sea Launch Project. p.15 - CIA HQ Doesn't Get a Winner's Name p.16 CANADA - US-STYLE LAW ENFORCEMENT COMING p.17 NORTH AMERICA - Media Reports and Briefs. p.18 GREAT BRITAIN - TOMLINSON, THE CRIME & THE COVER-UP p.19 - FIRST ANTI-CRIME SUCCESS FOR MI5 p.20 - ROUNDUP THE "USUAL" SUSPECTS p.21 - Political "Lost & Found" Nuclear Bombs. p.22 FRANCE - "WAIT AND SEE" IN INTELLIGENCE SERVICES p.23 NETHERLANDS - BVD & MID BRING OUT ANNUAL REPORTS p.24 GERMANY - ELECTIONS APPROACH & HEADS ROLL AT BND p.25 BND and German Journalists. p.26 WESTERN EUROPE - Media Reports and Briefs. p.27 HUNGARY - OFFICIAL SPY MEDIA OPERATION BOOMERANGS p.28 RUSSIA - INTERNET & ECONOMIC SECURITY UNDER NEW FSB CHIEF p.29 EASTERN EUROPE - Media Reports and Briefs. p.30 LATIN AMERICA - Media Reports and Briefs. p.31 SIERRA LEONE - THE "GOOD GUYS" TURN NASTY p.32 AFRICA - Media Reports and Briefs. p.33 MIDDLE EAST - Media Reports and Briefs. p.34 ASIA - Media Reports and Briefs. p.35 --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 84, 7 September 1998, p. 2 ASSASSINS - SERIOUS US SECRET SERVICE STUDY The US Secret Service recently published the results of a five- year study -- the Exceptional Case Study Project -- examining all 83 cases of persons who attacked or tried to attack an American political figure or celebrity in the last 50 years. The study clearly steers away from stereotypical myths concerning assassins such as the "deranged madman" or the "lonely loser", and found no profile of background or description fitting enough assassins to be helpful in deciding who is dangerous. Special agents and psychologists analyzed the lives and actions of assassins and interviewed 23 of them, finding they are recognizable by a pattern of behavior, since assassination is not a spontaneous act and implies a series of actions that can lead to discovery. According to the study, "What does seem clear is that, for almost all subjects, attacks or near-lethal approaches occurred after a period of downward spiral in their lives" or a recent trauma. The most frequent motive that assassins gave for attacking a public figure was to achieve notoriety or fame. Based on this work, the Secret Service has also written a guide for state and local officials on preventing assassinations and other violence directed at individuals. The guide and the research report are now available from the National Institute of Justice and are part of the emerging specialty of "protective intelligence". --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 84, 7 September 1998, p. 10 ISRAEL - NAHUM MANBAR On 15 July, Israeli businessman, Nahum Manbar, was sentenced to life imprisonment by the Tel Aviv District Court after being found guilty -- following a secret trial before a panel of three judges -- of selling poison gas and components for the production of chemical warheads to Iran between 1990 and 1995 for an estimated $16 million. A former paratrooper and kibbutz manager, Manbar denies harming Israeli national security, claiming he has been "scapegoated" by the intelligence services, instead of the "100 or 200 people who should have been convicted", including factory managers, investors and prominent industrialists. He admitted signing a contract in 1992 with Majed Abasbur, head of the Iranian chemical warfare program, to supply Iran with material to produce mustard and nerve gas, but claims that the sales were coordinated with agents from Israeli General Security Service (Shin Bet). A US State Department memo, dated July 1994, accused Manbar of violating an American trade embargo against Iran and barred him from entering the US. CIA sources claim he met with Abasbur several times in France, Belgium and the Netherlands. He successfully arranged for the delivery from an undisclosed European location, via Turkey, to Iran, by a 24- truck convoy, of 150 tons of material for chemical weapons production. Acting on information supplied by the US National Security Agency and the CIA, which indicated that Manbar was deliberately misleading the GSS regarding his business dealings with Iran, Manbar was secretly arrested by Shin Bet agents in May 1977 while visiting Israel from his home in France. In an 80-page ruling, Judge Amnon Strashnov said Manbar had failed to heed a warning from Mossad officials in 1993 to cease trading with Iran, and had "played a double game while supplying the Iranians with components for weapons of mass destruction". --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 84, 7 September 1998, p. 23 FRANCE "WAIT AND SEE" IN INTELLIGENCE SERVICES With powerful Socialist Interior Minister, Jean-Pierre Chevenement still not off life support as we go to press, any significant changes in the French intelligence and security establishment are excluded. Mr. Chevenement suffered an allergic reaction to anesthesia, causing a severe heart attack, followed by a coma. At the same time, there is major trouble at the Defense Ministry as Alain Richard tries to "downsize" while setting up autonomous, rapid intervention units that would not be under the direct command of one of the armed forces. For example, the Army would lose its anti-aircraft batteries to the Air Force so they could be flown into action without being under Army command. Thus, the recent appointment of Jean-Claude Mallet as the head of the "Prime Minister's intelligence service", the Secretariat General de la Defense Nationale (SGDN), replacing Isabelle Renouard, will probably not result in the "redynamicism" Mallet intended. Over the last year or so, the SGDN has been intentionally downsized to an inter-ministerial "post office box" for defense matters. Mallet's projects reportedly also include a "rebirth" of the dormant Comite Interministerial du Renseignement (CIR) under its new director, General Victor Chauvie. The CIR has been even more "dormant" than the SGDN and couldn't be "awakened" without the SGDN, both of which are excluded for the time being. Even though Alain Michel Christnacht, security advisor to Prime Minister, Lionel Jospin, is considered an acceptable replacement for the current chief of DGSE foreign intelligence, Jacques Dewatre (INT, n. 83 8), any such change will have to wait. At the Direction du Renseignement Militaire (DRM), new ideas and expansions are also out of the question. DRM boss, Admiral Yves de Kersauson, following DRM run-ins with US intelligence in Bosnia, has reportedly decided to limit the DRM to strictly "military" intelligence, getting it out of other political, social and economic operations. COMMENT -- Apparently all that will "move forward" are the retirement in October of General Philippe Rondot, influential intelligence advisor to Defense Minister Richard, and the "upsizing" of France's communications security unit, the Service Central pour la Securite des Systemes d'Information (SCSSI), which is responsible for implementing French public encryption policy. Certain specialists have noted that only DST internal security and the Renseignements Generaux (RGs) political intelligence police have managed to keep out of the press. This is likely due to their heavy workload dealing with Islamic fundamentalist networks before, during and after the World Cup (see "France - Exchange Terrorists for Tourists with Egypt", INT, n. 81 21) and the political sensitivity of that job. --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 84, 7 September 1998, p. 28 HUNGARY OFFICIAL SPY MEDIA OPERATION BOOMERANGS On 13 July, Interior Minister Sandor Pinter "cleared the deck" by firing national police chief, Laszlo Forgacs, Criminal Investigations director, Istvan Ignacz, and Public Safety director, Ferenc Banfi. It was reportedly part of an agreement between Pinter and Prime Minister, Viktor Orban, to reorganize and reinforce the much-criticized police force. Pinter said he wanted the deputy director of Public Safety, General Peter Orban, to take over the job of national police commander. Former interior minister and opposition Free Democrat parliamentary group leader, Gabor Kuncze, defended the integrity of the fired officials and stated that he believed political motives were behind the dismissals. Indeed, when the next scandal broke, the former officials weren't involved and political motives seemed to surface. On 27 August, illegal spying on the leaders of the Federation of Young Democrats-Hungarian Civic Party (FIDESZ-MPP) under the previous government was stated by Orban government officials to have been carried out last year by a private company with intelligence service connections. Who ordered the spying was not known, and the Orban government opened an official investigation. The next day, media reports described Postabank as the possible source of the order to the private security firm, Pinpoint, to spy on the business interests of FIDESZ-MPP leaders. Former prime minister, Gyula Horn, stated that neither the previous government, nor his Socialist Party, had ordered the operation, but the press speculated that "friends" of the previous government could have ordered the surveillance. Former Postabank president, Gabor Princz, quickly denied that he or his bank had illegally collected information on FIDESZ- MPP leaders and former executive manager of Pinpoint Ltd., Gyorgy Meth, called allegations "false assertions." Meanwhile, the media operation continued with a newspaper supposedly receiving an envelope from the Swedish embassy, containing the complete documentation of the FIDESZ-MPP operation. According to the documents, the investigation was based exclusively on company registers and not on secret or illegal sources. On 31 August, minister without portfolio, Laszlo Kover, in charge of intelligence services in the Orban government, stated before the parliamentary National Security Committee, that there is no evidence that his services were involved in the operation against the FIDESZ-MPP leaders. Ruling coalition parties, plus the Hungarian Justice and Life Party voted down a proposal that the parliamentary committee investigate the affair, causing Socialist Party MP and committee chairman, Gyorgy Keleti, to state that the government does not want to get to the bottom of the affair. The Swedish Embassy, of course, denied that the incriminating documents had been leaked to the press by one of its employees. On 1 September, opposition leader Kuncze "let the cat out of the bag" by noting that the government's reluctance to release the alleged documents raises the suspicion that there are no documents to support Orban's allegations and that the alleged illegal surveillance of FIDESZ-MPP leaders was a "boomerang that has fallen on the head of Prime Minister Viktor Orban." --------------------------------------------- Intelligence, N. 84, 7 September 1998, p. 35 ASIA - Media Reports and Briefs. - PAKISTAN Pakistan's prime minister fired his intelligence chief and demoted a top government official for the erroneous report of a US cruise missile striking Pakistani soil and killing six people. - SRI LANKA The Sri Lankan police have set up a sea surveillance brigade to intercept rebel arms shipments. * The FBI is training Sri Lankan policemen in the framework of the Advanced Anti-Terrorist Assistant Program (ATAP) of the US State Department. - CHINA The Chinese Communist Party has reportedly created a new intelligence unit, the Bureau for Maintenance of Social Stability to monitor social unrest. - TAIWAN In a fight over control and reorganization of the Ministry of Justice Investigation Bureau, both Cheng Chuan, the bureau's chief, and the Justice Minister, Liao Cheng-hao have been fired. - JAPAN Gen. Kunimi Masahiro, head of Japanese military intelligence, visited Europe this summer and spent some time in Paris. His service is supposedly modeled after the French DRM. - SOUTH KOREA Russian spy dispute leads to firing of South Korea's foreign minister. South Korean news media and other critics accused the government of trying to hide a secret deal to avoid embarrassment. - AUSTRALIA Victoria Police has failed in a bid to introduce a blanket policy of neither confirming nor denying the existence of secret intelligence files under freedom of information laws. --------------------------------------------- INTELLIGENCE SUBSCRIPTION FORM Name . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Organization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Postal Address . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Telephone . . . . . . . . . . . . Fax . . . . . . . . . . . . Email . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 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