Via NY Transfer News Collective * All the News that Doesn't Fit INTELLIGENCE ISSN 1245-2122 N. 25 New Series, 6 November 1995 Publishing since 1980 Editor Olivier Schmidt intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr tel/fax 33 1 40 51 85 19; ADI, 16 rue des Ecoles, 75005 Paris, France Copyright ADI 1995, reproduction in any form forbidden without explicit authorization from the ADI. A one year subscription (23 issues) is US $315. Eastern European News from Intelligence, N. 25, 6 November 1995 RUSSIA: ARM WRESTLING OVER CENTRAL ASIAN OIL The fight over how to get Central Asian oil from the wells to the market has developed into a major battle characterized by a double stranglehold: Russia has a stranglehold on the ground and wants to maintain a monopoly on transportation and marketing decisions; Turkey has a maritime stranglehold on the Bosporus where Russian oil tankers must pass and has American backing to break Russia's regional dominance. The recently- announced decision is a double pipeline: one through Russia, controlled by Moscow; another through Georgia to the Black Sea and perhaps through Turkey to the Mediterranean. The latter has to be built and the former, since it is almost finished, will start functioning soon. It, of course, goes through Chechnya and is one of the major reasons Russia has fought a vicious war to install a Moscow-controlled government there. This obviously "lame" agreement has calmed things down for the time being but hasn't resolved the fundamental problems. COMMENT - One of the fundamental problems is Iran. The U.S. has tried to impose an economic boycott of Iran. However, Russia has maintained friendly relations with Teheran and not far to the south of former Soviet pipelines, there are modern Iranian pipelines which could transport oil to the Persian Gulf for shipment throughout the world. Iran and Turkmenistan signed an agreement in early September to build a gas pipeline to bring Turkman gas to Iran. Russia has also sought to reinforce its hand in provision of future confrontations with Turkey and the U.S. by signing an agreement in early September with Greece to build an oil pipeline from the Bulgarian Black Sea coast to the Greek port of Alexandroupolis. With such a pipeline, Turkey, Greece and Bulgaria's avowed enemy, wouldn't be able to stop Russian oil from reaching world markets by ship. RUSSIA - Oops! Wrong Battlefield. Georgian Prime Minister Eduard Shevarnadze and Ukranian President Leonid Kuchma have both recently taken direct control of their countries' special security forces, probably for their own protection. The well- known Russian A Unit or Alpha Unit special forces also been reined in. Probably to avoid continuing criticism that they "always arrive after the fire's out", an A Unit has been stationed directly at the strategically-located Mineralnye Vody airport near Stavropol. Hopefully, it will get to the scene of action in hours, instead of days. However, it still has to get to the right scene: on 24 October special forces landed and attacked the Sleptsovskaya airport in Ingushetiya, killing one and wounding six, before they realized that the airport was not in the hands of Chechen forces as their intelligence had reported. Sorry ladies and gentlemen, wrong place. RUSSIA - Nuclear Smuggling Out, Biochem Smuggling In. Now that major scare stories of massive smuggling of Russian nuclear materials no longer hold water, a new bogeyman has raised its head: smuggling in Russian biological and chemical military agents. Indeed, former head of the Russian State Committee for Converting Chemical and Biological Weapons Production Facilities, Anatolii Kuntsevich, was recently accused by Western authorities of smuggling 800 kg of toxic military agents into the Middle East (see p. 29 in this issue). Strangely enough, this new campaign comes just as American- sponsored security systems are being installed around uranium and plutonium stocks in Russia. At the same time, Western press, hedging its reports with an inevitable "while there are no verified incidents ...", nonetheless calls attention to "inadequately secured, aging and underguarded facilities" where biological and chemical weapons are stockpiled. Certain experts say the West should probably worry more about nerve gas in the Tokyo metro than sale of Russian stocks on the black market. In many cases, the Russian material is stocked under such poor conditions that it would be almost certain death to try to move it without any biochemical warfare equipment. GEORGIA - KGB Accused of Killing CIA Officer. CIA officer Fred Woodruff was supposedly killed in a random shooting by a teenage Georgian serviceman in August 1993. But at a 13 October news conference in Tbilisi, former Georgian State Security Service chief, Irakli Batiashvili claimed Woodruff was murdered by the Russian KGB. This declaration may simply be part of a media operations campaign against Moscow which is protecting Lieutenant General Igor Georgadze, former senior KGB officer (IN, N. 16/50), head of the Georgian State Security Service (SSS) until a month ago, and now held responsible for recent terrorist attacks, including the 29 August assassination attempt against Prime Minister Eduard Shevarnadze. POLAND - Central European "Sting Operations" Coming Up. Although it hasn't been explicitly reported as a current course taught at Budapest's FBI-backed International Law Enforcement Academy (INT, N. 23/51), "sting operations" and false-front company operations will surely be on the curriculum following the early October Central European interior ministers' meeting and the signing of a memorandum of understanding to coordinate the war on drugs. Poland has been the first to "follow through" by enacting new legislation permitting police and security services to set up false-front companies, carry out sting operations and make "controlled deliveries" of drugs. But, the Interior Ministry added, no such operations can be carried out until the police receive adequate training; so it's back to the Budapest academy for another course. ESTONIA - Privilege of First "Democratic" Spy Scandal. Compared to Slovakia (see below), Estonia has the dubious privilege of being the first post-Communist democracy to have a government fall because of a spy scandal, involving, of course, former Communist-era officials. Indeed, the Interior Minister, number 2 government man and former acting prime minister Edgar Savisaar, 48, was dismissed on 10 October for wiretapping political parties and the government itself. On 11 October, the seven-month-old coalition government collapsed. Savisaar's former political adviser and chief of police, Kalle Kandorf, was director of the private security firm, Security Intelligence Agency (SIA), which had done the tapping. SLOVAKIA - A Losing Battle with "Old Structures". Leaked police information indicated that Michael Kovac, Jr., 34, son of Slovak President Michael Kovac, Sr., had been kidnapped, beaten and dumped in Austria by the Slovenska Informacni Sluzba (SIS) of Ivan Lexa, close ally of Prime Minister Vladimir Meciar (INT, N. 21/18). Meciar responded by having the two first chief police investigators, Major Jaroslave Simunic, then Peter Vacok, taken off the inquiry, and opening an investigation of the police itself. Lexa wrote Pres. Kovac accusing him of trying "to criminalize the SIS and its representatives", and other Meciar fans have accused the President of treason. The third chief investigator of the kidnapping, Major Jozef Ciz, is a staunch Meciar fan club member. On 25 October, representatives of the European Union, Spain, France, Italy and the U.S. formally expressed their concern for the future of democracy in Slovakia to Meciar who, once again, turned this against Pres. Kovac. BOSNIA - NATO In the Field with Russia & Sharing Nothing. Russia demands to be part of the eventual NATO force in Bosnia, but not under NATO command. NATO wants the Russians to be present, but refuses to share intelligence with them, fearing they could identify NATO assets and also share the intelligence with the Serbs. There's been a temporary agreement that Russian troops under Russian command could have a non-combatant role which requires no intelligence sharing. But now other specialists are protesting; Russian troops are the most inclined to deal on the black market, run prostitution rings, deal in arms and other goods, particularly if they have "free time" as non-combatants. Will Moscow permit American "MPs" to arrest aspiring Russian military capitalists going into business for themselves? ALBANIA - No More CIA UAVs. The reported reduction and final cessation on 5 November of flights by CIA unmanned aerial vehicles out of Albania has caused concern in some quarters. In fact it is a normal "winding down - phasing out" operation since Bosnian Serb anti-aircraft radar has been so badly damaged it no longer poses any threat to direct NATO aerial surveillance by manned aircraft. Moreover, Serbs dare not use shoulder-fired missiles and light weapons for fear of immediate and massive retaliation. In short, an aggressive "open sky" policy has been imposed. HUNGARY - 1956 CIA Tapes to Get an Airing. To answer the question whether Frank Wisner of the CIA (see p. 53 in this issue) actively and illegally encouraged Hungarians to fight against the 1956 Soviet invasion of Hungary by promising American aid, Hungarian radio recently began airing long-lost Radio Free Europe (RFE) tapes dating from the revolt. RFE supposedly lost its copies of the broadcasts, but a Hungarian radio archivist recently discovered 500 hours of tapes in a German library. People: RUSSIA - Gennady Zyuganov. On 18 October, Gennady Zyuganov, the 51-year old "hardline" leader of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF), was the main speaker at a private one-day business seminar sponsored by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and held at a Moscow hotel. Mr. Zyuganov is a former member of the Soviet Central Committee's propaganda department, and was a board member of the banded "Den" (The Day), described as a reactionary newspaper with "a record for occasional anti- Semitism". With a strong grassroots organization and an estimated membership of 500,000, the CFRF and its allies will probably emerge as the strongest political coalition after the December parliamentary elections for the State Duma (the lower house). While Mr. Zyuganov has privately told the U.S. that he has no plans to reverse the move to a free-market economy, according to the U.S. State Department, the CPRF's election literature proposes a stop to privatization and restoring price controls. The CPRF is also seeking support from right-wing nationalists. While the State Duma has limited powers to interfere with the current reform program, Western diplomats are beginning to believe in the possibility of Mr. Zyuganov running against and defeating Boris Yeltsin in next year's presidential election. If President Yeltsin dies or decides to resign, the possibility of a Zyuganov presidency may become an unwelcome reality for the West. RUSSIA - Anatolii Kuntsevich. The former head of the Russian State Committee for Converting Chemical and Biological Weapons Production Facilities, Anatolii Kuntsevich, was recently accused by Western authorities of smuggling 800 kg of toxic military agents to the Middle East. Kuntsevich was on Vladimir Zhirinovsky's reactionary Liberal Democratic Party ticket for the December elections, but has apparently been dropped. RUSSIA - Mikhail Bergman. Commander of the Tiraspol garrison of the former 14th Army of General Aleksandr Lebed (INT, N. 21/59), Colonel Mikhail Bergman, was ordered on 20 October to leave his post within three days. The controversial colonel may have been counting too heavily on the mounting political influence of Gen. Lebed as a potential presidential candidate, and the general, in turn, may have been counting too heavily on the colonel to provide him with some "military push" to give his aggressive campaign more credibility. * Also in this Issue: N. 25, 6 November 1995 Frontpage: PAKISTAN - COUP ATTEMPT, DRUGS AND ISLAMIC FUNDAMENTALISTS p.1 Technology: SPECIAL EQUIPMENT AND TECHNOLOGY AT MILIPOL '95 p.2 INFORMATION WARFARE SPECIAL REPORT p.3 NONLETHAL TECH RESURFACES IN NEW MILITARY DOCTRINE p.4 FLIR - Outlawed for Snooping Policemen. p.5 LASERS - Illegal on the Ground, Not in the Air. p.6 STEALTH - An "Invisible" Follow-On to the C-130. p.7 CODES - French Decision on Publicly Legal Encryption. p.8 NETWORKS - French Air Force's Secure MOBIDIC System. p.9 AIRCRAFT CARRIERS - Eliminating the Waves. p.10 TORTURE - A Lost French Annex. p.11 CULTS - Internet Fights Back at Scientology. p.12 SPACE - Russian "Carbon Copy" Space Shuttle Scrapped. p.13 COMPUTERS - Russia On and Off the "Blacklist". p.14 STEALTH - India Enters the Field. p.15 "INTELLIGENCE" - Restructuring our Web Site. p.16 People: JEFFREY A. SLATON - U.S.A. p.17 ARNIE MATANKY - U.S.A. p.18 JOHN CAIRNCROSS - GREAT BRITAIN p.19 ALAN BUSBY - SCOTLAND/IRELAND p.20 U.S.A. - George Michael Baird. p.21 U.S.A. - James Hamilton. p.22 U.S.A. - Philip Agee. p.23 GREAT BRITAIN - Philip Harding. p.24 NORTHERN IRELAND - David Atkinson. p.25 FRANCE - Paul Barril. p.26 FRANCE - Jean-Bernard Condat. p.27 RUSSIA - Gennady Zyuganov. p.28 RUSSIA - Anatolii Kuntsevich. p.29 RUSSIA - Mikhail Bergman. p.30 MEXICO - Armando Pavon Reyes. p.31 COLOMBIA - Luis Bernardo Urbina. p.32 HONDURAS - Julio Fonseca. p.33 ALGERIA - Abdelkrim Deneche. p.34 PALESTINE - Fathi Shiqaqi. p.35 IRAQ - Saif Rashid Sindi. p.36 IRAQ - Khamis Khalaf Al Ajili. p.37 Agenda: INFOSEC - Semi-official Computer Crime Meeting. p.38 MILIPOL - World's Largest Security Show. p.39 INFOTECH - TTC Seminar. p.40 AFCEA ASIA-PACIFIC - Communications & Electronics. p.41 TEXT & IMAGE - French Scientific Meeting. p.42 GREYNET - Information Management Seminar. p.43 COMSEC - Mitre Internet Security Conference. p.44 SPECIAL OPS - ADPA '95 Symposium. p.45 FED/UNESCO - 21th Century War & Peace Conference. p.46 SECUBANK '96 - Preliminary Russian Meeting Announcement. p.47 Intelligence Around the World: USA - OVERHAUL ON ALL IMAGERY INTELLIGENCE TO CREATE NIO p.48 DIA MOVING FRONT AND CENTER COURT p.49 FBI WANTS 1,000 TIMES MORE WIRETAPS p.50 NTIA Privacy "Policy". p.51 CIA's KGB Handouts for the President. p.52 CIA Georgetown "Hobnobbing". p.53 "Black" C-130s Repossessed by Forest Service. p.54 GREAT BRITAIN - CHIEF INSPECTOR SUPPORTS MI5 COLLABORATION p.55 ARMED FORCES "PRUNING" AND EXPANDING p.56 ART THEFT COMES OF AGE p.57 Maximum Secrecy Acceptable. p.58 Rimington's Succession Line-up at MI5. p.59 Repub IRELAND - Legal History in the Making. p.62 North IRELAND - HERE COMES THE PRESIDENT p.60 Paras Coming Back Soon. p.61 FRANCE - THE "HEATS OFF" BUT THE POT STILL BOILS OVER p.63 "Rotten Apples" Selling Intelligence. p.64 "Data Protection" Helps Little & Hurts Science. p.65 Business as Usual or Working with the Enemy? p.66 NETHERLANDS - Dissolved IDB Back in the News. p.67 CID Informers "Falling over Each other". p.68 WESTERN EUROPE - Europol Convention Available. p.69 POLAND - Central European "Sting Operations" Coming Up. p.70 ESTONIA - Privilege of First "Democratic" Spy Scandal. p.71 SLOVAKIA - A Losing Battle with "Old Structures". p.72 BOSNIA - NATO In the Field with Russia & Sharing Nothing. p.73 ALBANIA - No More CIA UAVs. p.74 HUNGARY - 1956 CIA Tapes to Get an Airing. p.75 GEORGIA - KGB Accused of Killing CIA Officer. p.79 RUSSIA - ARM WRESTLING OVER CENTRAL ASIAN OIL p.76 Oops! Wrong Battlefield. p.77 Nuclear Smuggling Out, Biochem Smuggling In. p.78 CUBA - Illegal Visit by ... U.S. Veterans. p.80 HAITI - Cleaning Out the Stables ... and a Few Archives. p.81 SALVADOR - UN Report on "Irregular Groups" in the Police. p.82 ANGOLA - MPRI elbowing in on Executive Outcomes. p.83 TUNISIA - Fighting Fire with Fire. p.84 CHINA - Book on Intelligence Services. p.85 For subscription info, write to: intelligence-adi@wanadoo.fr or point your browser to: http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence ================================================================= NY Transfer News Collective * A Service of Blythe Systems Since 1985 - Information for the Rest of Us 339 Lafayette St., New York, NY 10012 For more info, e-mail , or =================================================================